Was the Iowa Caucus Decided by Coin Flips?
But in six of the state’s 1,681 precincts, the results were so close that individual delegates were awarded by a coin flip. (That was actually in the rules given to precinct chairmen, according to this photo tweeted by Univision’s Fernando Peinado.) And improbably, Clinton’s campaign won all six coin flips across the state. The chances of a person winning six individual coin tosses is 1/64—not exactly Powerball odds, but still pretty lucky. Those delegates awarded by coin flip don’t translate directly into actual delegates seated at the Democratic convention this summer in Philadelphia, but they would have factored into the proportional allocation formula that the party uses to determine how many delegates each candidate gets. (There may have been coin flips in other Iowa precincts, although these six are the only ones documented at this point.)
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