Masters Of War

Come you masters of war You that build all the guns You that build the death planes You that build all the bombs You that hide behind walls You that hide behind desks I just want you to know I can see through your masks. You that never done nothin' But build to destroy You play with my world Like it's your little toy You put a gun in my hand And you hide from my eyes And you turn and run farther When the fast bullets fly. Like Judas of old You lie and deceive A world war can be won You want me to believe But I see through your eyes And I see through your brain Like I see through the water That runs down my drain. You fasten all the triggers For the others to fire Then you set back and watch When the death count gets higher You hide in your mansion' As young people's blood Flows out of their bodies And is buried in the mud. You've thrown the worst fear That can ever be hurled Fear to bring children Into the world For threatening my baby Unborn and unnamed You ain't worth the blood That runs in your veins. How much do I know To talk out of turn You might say that I'm young You might say I'm unlearned But there's one thing I know Though I'm younger than you That even Jesus would never Forgive what you do. Let me ask you one question Is your money that good Will it buy you forgiveness Do you think that it could I think you will find When your death takes its toll All the money you made Will never buy back your soul. And I hope that you die And your death'll come soon I will follow your casket In the pale afternoon And I'll watch while you're lowered Down to your deathbed And I'll stand over your grave 'Til I'm sure that you're dead.------- Bob Dylan 1963

Sunday, October 15, 2017

Consumer Prices up 0.5% in September on Gasoline Price Spike

the consumer price index increased by 0.5% in September, as gasoline prices spiked after the Texas Gulf Coast refineries were shut down by Hurricane Harvey, accounting for about three-fourths of the month’s overall price increase...the Consumer Price Index Summary from the Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated that the seasonally adjusted price index rose 0.5% in September after rising 0.4% in August. 0.1% in July, being unchanged in June and after falling 0.1% in May....the unadjusted CPI-U, which was set with prices of the 1982 to 1984 period equal to 100, rose from 245.519 in August to 246.819 in September, which left it statistically 2.233% higher than the 241.428 index reading of last September, which is reported as a 2.2% year over year increase...with higher prices for gasoline driving the gain in the overall index, seasonally adjusted core prices, which exclude food and energy, rose by 0.1% for the month, with the unadjusted core index rising from 252.460 to 252.941, which put it 1.69% ahead of its year ago reading of 248.731...

the volatile seasonally adjusted energy price index increased by 6.1% in September, after it had risen 2.8% in August but after it fell by 0.1% in July, 1.6% in June, and 2.7% in May...however, energy prices are now averaging 10.1% higher than a year ago, after seeing negative year over year comparisons through most of 2015 and 2016...prices for energy commodities were up by 12.6% in September, while the index for energy services fell by 0.2%, after falling 0.1% in August, 0.2% in July and 0.5% in June... the increase in the energy commodity index included a 13.0% jump in the price of gasoline, the largest component, and a 8.2% increase in the price of fuel oil, while prices for other fuels, including propane, kerosene and firewood, rose by an average of 1.8%…within energy services, the index for utility gas service fell by 0.8% after decreasing by 0.5% in August and 2.3% in July, but utility gas is still priced 3.8% higher than it was a year ago, while the electricity price index was unchanged for the second month in a commodities are now priced 18.9% above their year ago levels, with gasoline prices averaging 19.3% higher than they were a year ago...meanwhile, the energy services price index is now 2.2% higher than last September, as electricity prices have also risen by 1.7% over that period..

the seasonally adjusted food price index was up 0.1% in September, after rising 0.1% in August, 0.2% in July, being unchanged in June, rising 0.2% in May, 0.2% in April, 0.3% in March, 0.2% in February, and 0.1% in January, but after being unchanged in each of the prior 6 months, as the index for food purchased for use at home was unchanged in September, while prices for food bought to eat away from home was 0.3% higher, as prices at fast food outlets rose 0.4% and prices at full service restaurants both rose 0.2%, while food prices at schools rose 2.1%...

in the food at home categories, the price index for cereals and bakery products increased by 0.1%, as prices for bread fell 0.7% while other bakery product prices rose 1.0%...the price index for the meats, poultry, fish, and eggs group was down 0.4% as beef prices fell 0.7% and ham prices fell 2.2%, while the index for dairy products was 0.6% lower on 1.6% decrease in the price of fresh milk other than whole...the fruits and vegetables index was 0.2% lower on a 0.8% decrease in prices for fresh vegetables, and a 1.5% decrease in prices for frozen fruits and vegetables...on the other hand, the beverages index was 0.4% higher as roast coffee prices were up 1.3% and carbonated drink prices rose 0.5%....lastly, prices in the ‘other foods at home’ category were 0.3% lower on average, as butter prices fell 2.0% and salad dressing prices were 0.6% lower.......among food at home line items, only bacon, which is now priced 13.4% higher than a year ago, has seen a price change greater than 10% over the past year...the itemized list for price changes in over 100 separate food items is included at the beginning of Table 2, which gives us a line item breakdown for prices of more than 200 CPI items overall...

among the seasonally adjusted core components of the CPI, which rose by 0.1% in September after rising by 0.2% in August and by 0.1% in each of the prior 4 months, the composite of all goods less food and energy goods fell by 0.2%, while the more heavily weighted composite for all services less energy services was 0.2% higher....among the goods components, which will be used by the Bureau of Economic Analysis to adjust September retail sales for inflation in national accounts data, the index for household furnishings and supplies was 0.4% lower on a 1.5% decrease in prices for laundry appliances and a 3.2% drop in prices for dishes and flatware, while the apparel price index was 0.1% lower as a 3.2% increase in prices for men's suits and outerwear was offset by a 5.1% decrease in prices for women's outwear...prices for transportation commodities other than fuel were down 0.3%, as prices for new cars were down 0.5% while prices for motor oil, coolant, and fluids fell 0.9%...meanwhile, prices for medical care commodities were 0.8% lower on a 1.4% decrease in nonprescription drug prices...on the other hand, the recreational commodities index was unchanged as another 1.5% drop in TV prices was offset by a 1.0% increase in prices for film and photographic supplies and a 1.2% increase in the index for toys, games, hobbies and playground the same time, the education and communication commodities index was 1.2% lower on 1.9% decreases in prices for college textbooks and for computer software and accessories...lastly, a separate price index for alcoholic beverages was up 0.4% on 0.8% higher beer prices, while the price index for ‘other goods’ was up 0.5% on a 1.1% increase in the index for hair, dental, shaving, and other personal care products and a 1.7% increase in prices for stationery, gift wrap and other personal paper supplies..

within core services, the price index for shelter rose 0.3% on a 0.2% increase in rents, a 0.2% increase in owner's equivalent rent, and a 1.7% increase in costs for lodging away from home at hotels and motels, while costs for water, sewers and trash collection rose 0.3% and other household operation costs were unchanged....meanwhile, the index for medical care services was up 0.1%, as prices for both hospital services and physicians' services were up 0.2% while health insurance was 0.2% the same time, the transportation services index was 0.3% higher on an 1.8% increase in intracity mass transit fees and 0.8% higher motor vehicle repairs....the recreation services index rose 0.2% as film processing rose 2.1% and video & audio rental services rose 1.2%, while the index for education and communication services also rose 0.2% as wireless telephone services rose 0.4% and college tuitions rose 0.6%...lastly, the index for other personal services was unchanged as tax return services rose 0.1% and legal services fell 0.2%...among core prices, only the index for clocks, lamps, and decorator items, which is now 13.1% lower than a year ago, and prices for wireless phone services, which are now 11.7% lower than a year ago, have seen prices drop by more than 10% over the past year, while no core line item has seen prices rise by a double digit magnitude in that span..  


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